Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 75% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, basin topography limiting ventilation, and peak summer solar insolation drive typical August highs near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity potentially pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from climatological norms without strong frontal systems or unusual atmospheric blocking, keeping 35°C and 38°C as secondary outcomes while lower or extreme tails remain negligible. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の重慶の最高気温は?
36°C 54%
37°C 26%
35°C 13%
38°C 3%
$47,932 Vol.
$47,932 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
13%
36°C
54%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 54%
37°C 26%
35°C 13%
38°C 3%
$47,932 Vol.
$47,932 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
13%
36°C
54%
37°C
26%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, positioning these as the market leaders at combined 75% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon conditions, basin topography limiting ventilation, and peak summer solar insolation drive typical August highs near 33–35°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity potentially pushing readings higher. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from climatological norms without strong frontal systems or unusual atmospheric blocking, keeping 35°C and 38°C as secondary outcomes while lower or extreme tails remain negligible. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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