Trader consensus clustering around 32–33°C for Hong Kong’s August 13 daily maximum reflects short-term forecast models showing a mix of persistent heatwave conditions and moderating cloud cover or showers. Recent observations confirm highs near 34–36°C in early August under clear skies and high humidity, but updated guidance points to increased thunderstorm chances that could cap peaks near 33°C while the Hong Kong Observatory notes ongoing above-normal seasonal temperatures. Key variables include urban heat-island effects, wind patterns, and precise timing of any rain, with model spreads creating the narrow probability gap between the top outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の香港の最高気温は?
33°C 42%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
42%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
42%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering around 32–33°C for Hong Kong’s August 13 daily maximum reflects short-term forecast models showing a mix of persistent heatwave conditions and moderating cloud cover or showers. Recent observations confirm highs near 34–36°C in early August under clear skies and high humidity, but updated guidance points to increased thunderstorm chances that could cap peaks near 33°C while the Hong Kong Observatory notes ongoing above-normal seasonal temperatures. Key variables include urban heat-island effects, wind patterns, and precise timing of any rain, with model spreads creating the narrow probability gap between the top outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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