Marine layer clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin on August 14, 2026, keeping the official high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX)—the station used for market resolution—on track for a peak near 77°F according to National Weather Service forecasts. Persistent low stratus and moderate southwest winds limit solar insolation and advection of warmer interior air, aligning with the dominant 76-77°F outcome (75.5% implied probability). Slight upside risk in the 78-79°F bucket (14.5%) reflects residual model spread if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while lower ranges remain improbable given current observations around 70°F and typical August climatology of 82-85°F highs. Updated NWS briefings and real-time METAR data through the afternoon will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
76〜77°F 76%
78〜79°F 15%
74~75°F 7%
80〜81°F <1%
$27,271 Vol.
$27,271 Vol.
65°F以下
<1%
66~67°F
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72~73°F
1%
74~75°F
7%
76〜77°F
76%
78〜79°F
15%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
1%
84°F以上
<1%
76〜77°F 76%
78〜79°F 15%
74~75°F 7%
80〜81°F <1%
$27,271 Vol.
$27,271 Vol.
65°F以下
<1%
66~67°F
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72~73°F
1%
74~75°F
7%
76〜77°F
76%
78〜79°F
15%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
1%
84°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marine layer clouds and onshore flow from the Pacific are suppressing daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin on August 14, 2026, keeping the official high at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX)—the station used for market resolution—on track for a peak near 77°F according to National Weather Service forecasts. Persistent low stratus and moderate southwest winds limit solar insolation and advection of warmer interior air, aligning with the dominant 76-77°F outcome (75.5% implied probability). Slight upside risk in the 78-79°F bucket (14.5%) reflects residual model spread if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while lower ranges remain improbable given current observations around 70°F and typical August climatology of 82-85°F highs. Updated NWS briefings and real-time METAR data through the afternoon will refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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