Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の北京の最高気温は？
8月16日の北京の最高気温は？
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C or higher 25%
32°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
31%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
18%
30°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C or higher 25%
32°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
23°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$215 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$5 Vol.
29%
31°C
$36 Vol.
31%
32°C
$13 Vol.
17%
33°C or higher
$104 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$409終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$409終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Beijing on August 16 place daytime highs near 30–31 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those levels and the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or higher. Post-Liqiu cooling has begun after early-August peaks, with average August maxima near 31 °C and a gradual seasonal decline underway. Afternoon convection and scattered thunderstorms common in the East Asian monsoon regime can cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while drier, sunnier conditions would allow readings to reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Model consensus currently favors modest moisture and light steering flow, keeping outcomes below extreme heat thresholds and sustaining the balanced trader probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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