Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow temperature range centered on 21–22 °C for Helsinki on 16 August, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the south. Persistent marine influence from the Baltic Sea and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20 °C and 23 °C as plausible outliers. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and observed trends in 2 m temperatures, where small shifts in timing of any clearing could separate the leading bins. Historical August maxima near 19–20 °C provide climatological context but are being overridden by the current synoptic setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
8月16日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
21℃ 32%
22°C 25%
23℃ 20%
20℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
16℃以下
1%
17°C
1%
18℃
6%
19°C
7%
20℃
9%
21℃
32%
22°C
25%
23℃
12%
24℃
5%
25℃
6%
26℃以上
1%
21℃ 32%
22°C 25%
23℃ 20%
20℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
16℃以下
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
1%
18℃
$10 Vol.
6%
19°C
$32 Vol.
7%
20℃
$0 Vol.
9%
21℃
$30 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23℃
$5 Vol.
12%
24℃
$15 Vol.
5%
25℃
$10 Vol.
6%
26℃以上
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow temperature range centered on 21–22 °C for Helsinki on 16 August, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the south. Persistent marine influence from the Baltic Sea and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20 °C and 23 °C as plausible outliers. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and observed trends in 2 m temperatures, where small shifts in timing of any clearing could separate the leading bins. Historical August maxima near 19–20 °C provide climatological context but are being overridden by the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$117終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow temperature range centered on 21–22 °C for Helsinki on 16 August, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the south. Persistent marine influence from the Baltic Sea and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20 °C and 23 °C as plausible outliers. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and observed trends in 2 m temperatures, where small shifts in timing of any clearing could separate the leading bins. Historical August maxima near 19–20 °C provide climatological context but are being overridden by the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$117終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a narrow temperature range centered on 21–22 °C for Helsinki on 16 August, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge and modest warm-air advection from the south. Persistent marine influence from the Baltic Sea and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping 20 °C and 23 °C as plausible outliers. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model runs and observed trends in 2 m temperatures, where small shifts in timing of any clearing could separate the leading bins. Historical August maxima near 19–20 °C provide climatological context but are being overridden by the current synoptic setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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