The market's concentration on 74-77°F reflects expectations of a persistent marine layer moderating Los Angeles temperatures on August 15. In mid-August, the cool California Current and strong subsidence inversion typically limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping highs well below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent model guidance and ongoing onshore flow have reinforced this pattern, reducing the odds of warmer outcomes above 78°F. National Weather Service updates on inversion strength and marine layer depth will be the next key data points for traders assessing any shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
8月15日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
76〜77°F 50%
74〜75°F 33%
78〜79°F 12%
72〜73°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
65°F以下
<1%
66～67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
2%
70～71°F
2%
72〜73°F
8%
74〜75°F
33%
76〜77°F
50%
78〜79°F
12%
80～81°F
3%
82～83°F
3%
84°F以上
1%
76〜77°F 50%
74〜75°F 33%
78〜79°F 12%
72〜73°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
65°F以下
$283 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$98 Vol.
<1%
68〜69°F
$25 Vol.
2%
70～71°F
$149 Vol.
2%
72〜73°F
$604 Vol.
8%
74〜75°F
$215 Vol.
33%
76〜77°F
$1,177 Vol.
50%
78〜79°F
$186 Vol.
12%
80～81°F
$118 Vol.
3%
82～83°F
$112 Vol.
3%
84°F以上
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's concentration on 74-77°F reflects expectations of a persistent marine layer moderating Los Angeles temperatures on August 15. In mid-August, the cool California Current and strong subsidence inversion typically limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping highs well below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent model guidance and ongoing onshore flow have reinforced this pattern, reducing the odds of warmer outcomes above 78°F. National Weather Service updates on inversion strength and marine layer depth will be the next key data points for traders assessing any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$3,153終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's concentration on 74-77°F reflects expectations of a persistent marine layer moderating Los Angeles temperatures on August 15. In mid-August, the cool California Current and strong subsidence inversion typically limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping highs well below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent model guidance and ongoing onshore flow have reinforced this pattern, reducing the odds of warmer outcomes above 78°F. National Weather Service updates on inversion strength and marine layer depth will be the next key data points for traders assessing any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,153終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThe market's concentration on 74-77°F reflects expectations of a persistent marine layer moderating Los Angeles temperatures on August 15. In mid-August, the cool California Current and strong subsidence inversion typically limit daytime heating along the coast, keeping highs well below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent model guidance and ongoing onshore flow have reinforced this pattern, reducing the odds of warmer outcomes above 78°F. National Weather Service updates on inversion strength and marine layer depth will be the next key data points for traders assessing any shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問