Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low of 81–82 °F for Miami on August 15, driven by high tropical dew points near 75 °F, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 78–83 °F bins. Clearer skies overnight could enhance outgoing longwave radiation and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or scattered showers would trap heat and favor the upper side. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–80 °F, so any deviation from the current model consensus on boundary-layer humidity or wind speed remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月15日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80〜81°F 31%
82〜83°F 31%
78〜79°F 29%
76〜77°F 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
67°F以下
1%
68～69°F
1%
70～71°F
1%
72～73°F
2%
74～75°F
6%
76〜77°F
14%
78〜79°F
29%
80〜81°F
31%
82〜83°F
31%
84〜85°F
14%
86°F以上
6%
80〜81°F 31%
82〜83°F 31%
78〜79°F 29%
76〜77°F 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
67°F以下
$152 Vol.
1%
68～69°F
$152 Vol.
1%
70～71°F
$227 Vol.
1%
72～73°F
$227 Vol.
2%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
14%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
29%
80〜81°F
$0 Vol.
31%
82〜83°F
$0 Vol.
31%
84〜85°F
$1 Vol.
14%
86°F以上
$115 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low of 81–82 °F for Miami on August 15, driven by high tropical dew points near 75 °F, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 78–83 °F bins. Clearer skies overnight could enhance outgoing longwave radiation and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or scattered showers would trap heat and favor the upper side. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–80 °F, so any deviation from the current model consensus on boundary-layer humidity or wind speed remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$874終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low of 81–82 °F for Miami on August 15, driven by high tropical dew points near 75 °F, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 78–83 °F bins. Clearer skies overnight could enhance outgoing longwave radiation and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or scattered showers would trap heat and favor the upper side. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–80 °F, so any deviation from the current model consensus on boundary-layer humidity or wind speed remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$874終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low of 81–82 °F for Miami on August 15, driven by high tropical dew points near 75 °F, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 78–83 °F bins. Clearer skies overnight could enhance outgoing longwave radiation and push readings toward the lower end of that range, while increased moisture or scattered showers would trap heat and favor the upper side. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 78–80 °F, so any deviation from the current model consensus on boundary-layer humidity or wind speed remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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