Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on August 15, with a maximum temperature centered near 25–26°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. Mild high pressure and limited moisture advection suppress stronger warming, while regional patterns keep eastern Ontario on the cooler side of long-range expectations. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, though day-to-day model runs can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Updated guidance ahead of the daily high will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月15日のトロントの最高気温は？
26°C 43%
25°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
36%
26°C
43%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 43%
25°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
19°C or below
$97 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$407 Vol.
1%
22°C
$312 Vol.
2%
23°C
$371 Vol.
3%
24°C
$278 Vol.
8%
25°C
$159 Vol.
36%
26°C
$1,024 Vol.
43%
27°C
$187 Vol.
9%
28°C
$157 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$106 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on August 15, with a maximum temperature centered near 25–26°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. Mild high pressure and limited moisture advection suppress stronger warming, while regional patterns keep eastern Ontario on the cooler side of long-range expectations. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, though day-to-day model runs can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Updated guidance ahead of the daily high will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$3,163終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on August 15, with a maximum temperature centered near 25–26°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. Mild high pressure and limited moisture advection suppress stronger warming, while regional patterns keep eastern Ontario on the cooler side of long-range expectations. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, though day-to-day model runs can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Updated guidance ahead of the daily high will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,163終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on August 15, with a maximum temperature centered near 25–26°C, aligning with the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. Mild high pressure and limited moisture advection suppress stronger warming, while regional patterns keep eastern Ontario on the cooler side of long-range expectations. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, though day-to-day model runs can shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Updated guidance ahead of the daily high will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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