Current NOAA and AccuWeather forecasts for Seattle on August 15 project a daily high in the upper 70s to near 80°F, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 35% implied probability and supports the next tier near 80-81°F. The Pacific Northwest's 14th consecutive warmer-than-average summer, reinforced by an intensifying El Niño pattern that favors above-normal temperatures across the region, underpins trader positioning around seasonal baselines of 77°F. Official measurements from Sea-Tac Airport and model runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月15日のシアトルの最高気温は？
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$49 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$59 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$72 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$56 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$54 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$181 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$68 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and AccuWeather forecasts for Seattle on August 15 project a daily high in the upper 70s to near 80°F, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 35% implied probability and supports the next tier near 80-81°F. The Pacific Northwest's 14th consecutive warmer-than-average summer, reinforced by an intensifying El Niño pattern that favors above-normal temperatures across the region, underpins trader positioning around seasonal baselines of 77°F. Official measurements from Sea-Tac Airport and model runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$584終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NOAA and AccuWeather forecasts for Seattle on August 15 project a daily high in the upper 70s to near 80°F, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 35% implied probability and supports the next tier near 80-81°F. The Pacific Northwest's 14th consecutive warmer-than-average summer, reinforced by an intensifying El Niño pattern that favors above-normal temperatures across the region, underpins trader positioning around seasonal baselines of 77°F. Official measurements from Sea-Tac Airport and model runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$584終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent NOAA and AccuWeather forecasts for Seattle on August 15 project a daily high in the upper 70s to near 80°F, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 35% implied probability and supports the next tier near 80-81°F. The Pacific Northwest's 14th consecutive warmer-than-average summer, reinforced by an intensifying El Niño pattern that favors above-normal temperatures across the region, underpins trader positioning around seasonal baselines of 77°F. Official measurements from Sea-Tac Airport and model runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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