Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating lake breeze limit daytime heating. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, but recent atmospheric conditions—including elevated moisture, reduced solar insolation, and steering patterns—have kept temperatures several degrees below climatology. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because ensemble forecasts show only modest uncertainty in this range, with small shifts in convection timing or wind direction able to nudge the peak a degree or two. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups with comparable dew points and 500 mb heights support outcomes in this narrow band rather than the lower-probability tails.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のシカゴの最高気温は？
8月15日のシカゴの最高気温は？
80～81°F 35%
82〜83°F 28%
78〜79°F 17%
84〜85°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
華氏75度以下
1%
76〜77°F
4%
78〜79°F
17%
80～81°F
35%
82〜83°F
28%
84〜85°F
11%
86〜87°F
3%
88〜89°F
1%
90～91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94°F以上
<1%
80～81°F 35%
82〜83°F 28%
78〜79°F 17%
84〜85°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
華氏75度以下
$481 Vol.
1%
76〜77°F
$520 Vol.
4%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
17%
80～81°F
$147 Vol.
35%
82〜83°F
$120 Vol.
28%
84〜85°F
$50 Vol.
11%
86〜87°F
$277 Vol.
3%
88〜89°F
$70 Vol.
1%
90～91°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
94°F以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating lake breeze limit daytime heating. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, but recent atmospheric conditions—including elevated moisture, reduced solar insolation, and steering patterns—have kept temperatures several degrees below climatology. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because ensemble forecasts show only modest uncertainty in this range, with small shifts in convection timing or wind direction able to nudge the peak a degree or two. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups with comparable dew points and 500 mb heights support outcomes in this narrow band rather than the lower-probability tails.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$1,669終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating lake breeze limit daytime heating. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, but recent atmospheric conditions—including elevated moisture, reduced solar insolation, and steering patterns—have kept temperatures several degrees below climatology. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because ensemble forecasts show only modest uncertainty in this range, with small shifts in convection timing or wind direction able to nudge the peak a degree or two. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups with comparable dew points and 500 mb heights support outcomes in this narrow band rather than the lower-probability tails.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,669終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daily high in the upper 70s to low 80s°F for Chicago on August 15, 2026, as persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a moderating lake breeze limit daytime heating. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, but recent atmospheric conditions—including elevated moisture, reduced solar insolation, and steering patterns—have kept temperatures several degrees below climatology. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because ensemble forecasts show only modest uncertainty in this range, with small shifts in convection timing or wind direction able to nudge the peak a degree or two. Historical analogs from similar late-summer setups with comparable dew points and 500 mb heights support outcomes in this narrow band rather than the lower-probability tails.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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