Jinan’s mid-August climatology features peak summer heat, with average daily highs near 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Current forecasts from regional models consistently project a high of 31–33°C for August 15 despite possible thundershowers, keeping surface temperatures well above 26°C. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 99.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. An atypical cold-air intrusion or sustained heavy rain could theoretically suppress the maximum, but such developments remain outside the envelope of present guidance and historical analogs for the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 99.6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Jinan’s mid-August climatology features peak summer heat, with average daily highs near 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Current forecasts from regional models consistently project a high of 31–33°C for August 15 despite possible thundershowers, keeping surface temperatures well above 26°C. This strong consensus underpins the market’s 99.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. An atypical cold-air intrusion or sustained heavy rain could theoretically suppress the maximum, but such developments remain outside the envelope of present guidance and historical analogs for the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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