Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15 under scattered clouds and isolated late thunderstorms, with light northeasterly winds limiting full insolation. This positions 31–32°C outcomes as leading market-implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow brief clearing and a higher peak. Regional summer patterns show August climatological highs averaging 32–33°C, though recent model runs incorporate cooling from variable cloud cover and prior heavy-rain episodes across Henan. Final resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates likely refining any diurnal heating adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の鄭州の最高気温は？
8月15日の鄭州の最高気温は？
32°C or higher 46%
30°C 28%
29°C 11%
28°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
46%
32°C or higher 46%
30°C 28%
29°C 11%
28°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
22°C or below
$21 Vol.
1%
23°C
$21 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
6%
25°C
$10 Vol.
7%
26°C
$10 Vol.
7%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$16 Vol.
30%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15 under scattered clouds and isolated late thunderstorms, with light northeasterly winds limiting full insolation. This positions 31–32°C outcomes as leading market-implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow brief clearing and a higher peak. Regional summer patterns show August climatological highs averaging 32–33°C, though recent model runs incorporate cooling from variable cloud cover and prior heavy-rain episodes across Henan. Final resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates likely refining any diurnal heating adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$98終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15 under scattered clouds and isolated late thunderstorms, with light northeasterly winds limiting full insolation. This positions 31–32°C outcomes as leading market-implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow brief clearing and a higher peak. Regional summer patterns show August climatological highs averaging 32–33°C, though recent model runs incorporate cooling from variable cloud cover and prior heavy-rain episodes across Henan. Final resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates likely refining any diurnal heating adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$98終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15 under scattered clouds and isolated late thunderstorms, with light northeasterly winds limiting full insolation. This positions 31–32°C outcomes as leading market-implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that could allow brief clearing and a higher peak. Regional summer patterns show August climatological highs averaging 32–33°C, though recent model runs incorporate cooling from variable cloud cover and prior heavy-rain episodes across Henan. Final resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates likely refining any diurnal heating adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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