Latest model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows near Tokyo's seasonal normal of 23.6°C on August 17, with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiational cooling and concentrating market-implied odds tightly on 23–24°C. High humidity and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while variable shower timing and any brief clear intervals introduce the modest spread toward 25°C or 22°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical analogs showing typical mid-August minima clustered around 23–24°C, with new forecast runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の東京の最低気温は？
8月17日の東京の最低気温は？
25°C 43%
24℃ 39%
23°C 27%
22℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
19℃以下
1%
20℃
3%
21℃
3%
22℃
10%
23°C
38%
24℃
39%
25°C
43%
26°C
3%
27℃
3%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
25°C 43%
24℃ 39%
23°C 27%
22℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
19℃以下
$37 Vol.
1%
20℃
$10 Vol.
3%
21℃
$83 Vol.
3%
22℃
$120 Vol.
10%
23°C
$126 Vol.
38%
24℃
$118 Vol.
39%
25°C
$399 Vol.
43%
26°C
$93 Vol.
3%
27℃
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows near Tokyo's seasonal normal of 23.6°C on August 17, with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiational cooling and concentrating market-implied odds tightly on 23–24°C. High humidity and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while variable shower timing and any brief clear intervals introduce the modest spread toward 25°C or 22°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical analogs showing typical mid-August minima clustered around 23–24°C, with new forecast runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$1,082終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows near Tokyo's seasonal normal of 23.6°C on August 17, with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiational cooling and concentrating market-implied odds tightly on 23–24°C. High humidity and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while variable shower timing and any brief clear intervals introduce the modest spread toward 25°C or 22°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical analogs showing typical mid-August minima clustered around 23–24°C, with new forecast runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,082終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETLatest model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows near Tokyo's seasonal normal of 23.6°C on August 17, with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiational cooling and concentrating market-implied odds tightly on 23–24°C. High humidity and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while variable shower timing and any brief clear intervals introduce the modest spread toward 25°C or 22°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical analogs showing typical mid-August minima clustered around 23–24°C, with new forecast runs and observational updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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