**Recent Met Office forecasts project a minimum of 19°C for London on August 17 amid continued high pressure and mild advection, elevating overnight lows above the seasonal 13–15°C average.** Ensemble models show limited cooling potential overnight following daytime highs near 28°C, with clear to partly cloudy conditions supporting only moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup explains why markets price 18–19°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~70% implied probability), while assigning low odds to sub-17°C or 20°C+ extremes. Updated model runs and station-specific observations at sites like London City Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月17日のロンドンの最低気温は？
18°C 41%
19°C 29%
17℃ 14%
20℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
13°C以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16℃
5%
17℃
14%
18°C
41%
19°C
29%
20℃
14%
21℃
5%
22°C
2%
23°C以上
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 29%
17℃ 14%
20℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
13°C以下
$20 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
4%
16℃
$20 Vol.
5%
17℃
$82 Vol.
14%
18°C
$149 Vol.
41%
19°C
$397 Vol.
29%
20℃
$957 Vol.
14%
21℃
$25 Vol.
5%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C以上
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office forecasts project a minimum of 19°C for London on August 17 amid continued high pressure and mild advection, elevating overnight lows above the seasonal 13–15°C average.** Ensemble models show limited cooling potential overnight following daytime highs near 28°C, with clear to partly cloudy conditions supporting only moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup explains why markets price 18–19°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~70% implied probability), while assigning low odds to sub-17°C or 20°C+ extremes. Updated model runs and station-specific observations at sites like London City Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$1,710終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office forecasts project a minimum of 19°C for London on August 17 amid continued high pressure and mild advection, elevating overnight lows above the seasonal 13–15°C average.** Ensemble models show limited cooling potential overnight following daytime highs near 28°C, with clear to partly cloudy conditions supporting only moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup explains why markets price 18–19°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~70% implied probability), while assigning low odds to sub-17°C or 20°C+ extremes. Updated model runs and station-specific observations at sites like London City Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,710終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Recent Met Office forecasts project a minimum of 19°C for London on August 17 amid continued high pressure and mild advection, elevating overnight lows above the seasonal 13–15°C average.** Ensemble models show limited cooling potential overnight following daytime highs near 28°C, with clear to partly cloudy conditions supporting only moderate radiative cooling. This atmospheric setup explains why markets price 18–19°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~70% implied probability), while assigning low odds to sub-17°C or 20°C+ extremes. Updated model runs and station-specific observations at sites like London City Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact low by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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