**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16 centers on 33°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus around 32–33°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Long-range and short-range guidance from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the seasonal coastal average of about 31°C. Recent moderation following an earlier July–early August heatwave across Israel has reduced extreme heat risks for the Tel Aviv area, with forecasts showing limited day-to-day variability and no significant marine layer or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. This positions 32°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities if minor steering or humidity adjustments occur, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the narrow uncertainty range in current ensemble runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
33°C 65%
32°C 18%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
65%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 18%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
18%
33°C
65%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16 centers on 33°C as the leading outcome, reflecting model consensus around 32–33°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Long-range and short-range guidance from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate stable high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the seasonal coastal average of about 31°C. Recent moderation following an earlier July–early August heatwave across Israel has reduced extreme heat risks for the Tel Aviv area, with forecasts showing limited day-to-day variability and no significant marine layer or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. This positions 32°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities if minor steering or humidity adjustments occur, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the narrow uncertainty range in current ensemble runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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