Current forecast consensus from models and agencies points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 5, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes. Shanghai’s early-August climatology features average highs near 32°C under the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating amid high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat-island effects at official stations can add 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or widespread convection expected to suppress peaks, though scattered afternoon showers remain possible. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the favored range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の上海の最高気温は？
8月5日の上海の最高気温は？
34°C 40%
33°C 28%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
28%
34°C
40%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
33°C 28%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
28°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$775 Vol.
1%
31°C
$501 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,068 Vol.
10%
33°C
$3,680 Vol.
28%
34°C
$488 Vol.
40%
35°C
$1,221 Vol.
14%
36°C
$622 Vol.
4%
37°C
$72 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models and agencies points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 5, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes. Shanghai’s early-August climatology features average highs near 32°C under the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating amid high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat-island effects at official stations can add 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or widespread convection expected to suppress peaks, though scattered afternoon showers remain possible. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$8,778終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models and agencies points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 5, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes. Shanghai’s early-August climatology features average highs near 32°C under the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating amid high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat-island effects at official stations can add 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or widespread convection expected to suppress peaks, though scattered afternoon showers remain possible. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,778終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from models and agencies points to a highest temperature in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 5, aligning with trader emphasis on 33–34°C outcomes. Shanghai’s early-August climatology features average highs near 32°C under the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating amid high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Urban heat-island effects at official stations can add 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or widespread convection expected to suppress peaks, though scattered afternoon showers remain possible. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine whether conditions trend toward the upper or lower end of the favored range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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