Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 7 points to daytime highs near 88–90°F amid persistent easterly flow, high atmospheric moisture, and a typical pattern of afternoon sea-breeze convergence that triggers scattered thunderstorms. These convective storms frequently cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F bin. Climatological baselines show early-August Miami highs averaging 88–89°F, with July’s record warmth providing limited carryover as seasonal moisture and thunderstorm frequency rise. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble consensus released in the past 48 hours have reinforced this range while underscoring uncertainty from exact storm timing and intensity, which traders appear to price as the dominant near-term variable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のマイアミの最高気温は?
90~91°F 52%
88~89°F 25%
92〜93°F 18%
86~87°F 6%
79°F以下
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84~85°F
2%
86~87°F
6%
88~89°F
25%
90~91°F
52%
92〜93°F
18%
94〜95°F
2%
96〜97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
90~91°F 52%
88~89°F 25%
92〜93°F 18%
86~87°F 6%
79°F以下
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84~85°F
2%
86~87°F
6%
88~89°F
25%
90~91°F
52%
92〜93°F
18%
94〜95°F
2%
96〜97°F
<1%
98°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 7 points to daytime highs near 88–90°F amid persistent easterly flow, high atmospheric moisture, and a typical pattern of afternoon sea-breeze convergence that triggers scattered thunderstorms. These convective storms frequently cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F bin. Climatological baselines show early-August Miami highs averaging 88–89°F, with July’s record warmth providing limited carryover as seasonal moisture and thunderstorm frequency rise. Updated short-range forecasts and ensemble consensus released in the past 48 hours have reinforced this range while underscoring uncertainty from exact storm timing and intensity, which traders appear to price as the dominant near-term variable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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