Forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources such as the National Weather Service indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on August 6, 2026, amid the rainy season’s typical afternoon convection. High elevation and frequent cloud build-up or showers often cap temperatures below clear-sky potential, creating tight differentiation between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Recent model runs and yesterday’s observed high near 26°C sustain trader focus on the upper end of the narrow range, while any earlier or heavier rainfall could shift the peak lower. Upcoming afternoon observations and updated short-range guidance will clarify whether steering patterns allow brief clearing sufficient for the leading market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26°C 40%
25°C 33%
27°C 14%
24℃ 9%
23℃以下
1%
24℃
9%
25°C
33%
26°C
40%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 33%
27°C 14%
24℃ 9%
23℃以下
1%
24℃
9%
25°C
33%
26°C
40%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources such as the National Weather Service indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C for Mexico City on August 6, 2026, amid the rainy season’s typical afternoon convection. High elevation and frequent cloud build-up or showers often cap temperatures below clear-sky potential, creating tight differentiation between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Recent model runs and yesterday’s observed high near 26°C sustain trader focus on the upper end of the narrow range, while any earlier or heavier rainfall could shift the peak lower. Upcoming afternoon observations and updated short-range guidance will clarify whether steering patterns allow brief clearing sufficient for the leading market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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