Recent forecasts for Houston on August 4, 2026, indicate a typical early-August pattern of hot, humid conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, driven by strong solar heating, high dew points near 75–80°F, and limited cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local analyses points to peak readings around 96–99°F before any afternoon convection develops, consistent with climatological averages near 94–95°F and recent days reaching the upper 90s. Trader positioning favors 96–97°F as the mode because it aligns with expected maximums under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies and weak steering flow, while 94–95°F captures potential sea-breeze cooling and 98–99°F accounts for slightly stronger heating if moisture remains trapped. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are influencing the region, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band with low odds for extremes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
96~97°F 54%
94〜95°F 27%
98〜99°F 12%
92〜93°F 2.9%
$14,695 Vol.
$14,695 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90~91°F
1%
92〜93°F
3%
94〜95°F
27%
96~97°F
54%
98〜99°F
12%
100〜101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
1%
96~97°F 54%
94〜95°F 27%
98〜99°F 12%
92〜93°F 2.9%
$14,695 Vol.
$14,695 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90~91°F
1%
92〜93°F
3%
94〜95°F
27%
96~97°F
54%
98〜99°F
12%
100〜101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Houston on August 4, 2026, indicate a typical early-August pattern of hot, humid conditions with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, driven by strong solar heating, high dew points near 75–80°F, and limited cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local analyses points to peak readings around 96–99°F before any afternoon convection develops, consistent with climatological averages near 94–95°F and recent days reaching the upper 90s. Trader positioning favors 96–97°F as the mode because it aligns with expected maximums under clear-to-partly-cloudy skies and weak steering flow, while 94–95°F captures potential sea-breeze cooling and 98–99°F accounts for slightly stronger heating if moisture remains trapped. No major tropical systems or cold fronts are influencing the region, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow band with low odds for extremes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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