Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station point to a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited thunderstorm activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology where temperatures can exceed the 32.7°C seasonal average high when steering patterns suppress cloud cover and allow greater solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in these inputs ahead of final NOAA resolution. A shift in recorded peak due to localized cooling from unexpected rain, instrument calibration differences, or post-observation revisions remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の広州の最高気温は?
35℃ 100.0%
27℃以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29℃ <1%
$130,070 Vol.
$130,070 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
100%
36℃
<1%
37℃以上
<1%
35℃ 100.0%
27℃以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29℃ <1%
$130,070 Vol.
$130,070 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
100%
36℃
<1%
37℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station point to a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited thunderstorm activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology where temperatures can exceed the 32.7°C seasonal average high when steering patterns suppress cloud cover and allow greater solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in these inputs ahead of final NOAA resolution. A shift in recorded peak due to localized cooling from unexpected rain, instrument calibration differences, or post-observation revisions remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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