Traders have converged on a 33°C daily maximum for Beijing on September 5 because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from authoritative sources align on this exact threshold. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have supported gradual warming to afternoon peaks near 33°C, with current readings already approaching 32°C and minimal cloud interference expected through evening. This consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low uncertainty in the final hours before official station data release. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-day shift such as increased humidity or localized cooling that drops the verified high below 33°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such revisions improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の北京の最高気温は?
33℃ 100.0%
28°C以下 <1%
29℃ <1%
30℃ <1%
$29,768 Vol.
$29,768 Vol.
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
100%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
33℃ 100.0%
28°C以下 <1%
29℃ <1%
30℃ <1%
$29,768 Vol.
$29,768 Vol.
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
100%
34℃
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have converged on a 33°C daily maximum for Beijing on September 5 because multiple forecast models and real-time observations from authoritative sources align on this exact threshold. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and a stable high-pressure pattern have supported gradual warming to afternoon peaks near 33°C, with current readings already approaching 32°C and minimal cloud interference expected through evening. This consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low uncertainty in the final hours before official station data release. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-day shift such as increased humidity or localized cooling that drops the verified high below 33°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such revisions improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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