Incumbent Republican Randy Fine, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election by a 14-point margin, enters the 2026 general election with strong trader consensus at 93.5% probability. Florida’s 6th district carries a pronounced Republican lean reflected in its R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Fine’s substantial fundraising lead, unified party support ahead of the August 18 primary, and the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns underpin the wide gap versus Democratic primary contenders. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or unforeseen national headwinds could narrow the margin, yet structural and recent electoral fundamentals continue to anchor the Republican position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,306 Vol.
94%
民主党
$8,644 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Fine, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election by a 14-point margin, enters the 2026 general election with strong trader consensus at 93.5% probability. Florida’s 6th district carries a pronounced Republican lean reflected in its R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Fine’s substantial fundraising lead, unified party support ahead of the August 18 primary, and the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns underpin the wide gap versus Democratic primary contenders. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or unforeseen national headwinds could narrow the margin, yet structural and recent electoral fundamentals continue to anchor the Republican position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$9,950終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Fine, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election by a 14-point margin, enters the 2026 general election with strong trader consensus at 93.5% probability. Florida’s 6th district carries a pronounced Republican lean reflected in its R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Fine’s substantial fundraising lead, unified party support ahead of the August 18 primary, and the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns underpin the wide gap versus Democratic primary contenders. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or unforeseen national headwinds could narrow the margin, yet structural and recent electoral fundamentals continue to anchor the Republican position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,950終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Randy Fine, who captured the seat in a 2025 special election by a 14-point margin, enters the 2026 general election with strong trader consensus at 93.5% probability. Florida’s 6th district carries a pronounced Republican lean reflected in its R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from major forecasters. Fine’s substantial fundraising lead, unified party support ahead of the August 18 primary, and the district’s voter registration and turnout patterns underpin the wide gap versus Democratic primary contenders. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or unforeseen national headwinds could narrow the margin, yet structural and recent electoral fundamentals continue to anchor the Republican position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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