Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election for the state House of Representatives features a fragmented electorate divided along entity and ethnic lines, leaving the contest for second-most seats tightly balanced among several parties. Recent polling and candidate list finalization show NiP, SDP BiH, SNSD, SDA, HDZ BiH, and DF clustered in a narrow range, with no single contender establishing a clear edge after the prior governing coalition fractured and amid ongoing institutional tensions. New election technologies and the High Representative’s legal amendments add uncertainty to seat allocation under the proportional system, while entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska further complicate national projections. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with outcomes sensitive to turnout in key cantons, last-minute coalition signals, or any shifts in Bosniak or Serb voter mobilization before polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日SNSD 46%
DF 25%
HDZ BiH 23%
SDA 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
SNSD
46%
DF
25%
HDZ BiH
23%
SDA
18%
NiP
14%
SDS
23%
SDP BiH
28%
SNSD 46%
DF 25%
HDZ BiH 23%
SDA 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
SNSD
$0 Vol.
46%
DF
$0 Vol.
25%
HDZ BiH
$0 Vol.
23%
SDA
$0 Vol.
18%
NiP
$55 Vol.
14%
SDS
$28 Vol.
23%
SDP BiH
$10 Vol.
28%
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election for the state House of Representatives features a fragmented electorate divided along entity and ethnic lines, leaving the contest for second-most seats tightly balanced among several parties. Recent polling and candidate list finalization show NiP, SDP BiH, SNSD, SDA, HDZ BiH, and DF clustered in a narrow range, with no single contender establishing a clear edge after the prior governing coalition fractured and amid ongoing institutional tensions. New election technologies and the High Representative’s legal amendments add uncertainty to seat allocation under the proportional system, while entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska further complicate national projections. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with outcomes sensitive to turnout in key cantons, last-minute coalition signals, or any shifts in Bosniak or Serb voter mobilization before polling.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
音量
$92終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election for the state House of Representatives features a fragmented electorate divided along entity and ethnic lines, leaving the contest for second-most seats tightly balanced among several parties. Recent polling and candidate list finalization show NiP, SDP BiH, SNSD, SDA, HDZ BiH, and DF clustered in a narrow range, with no single contender establishing a clear edge after the prior governing coalition fractured and amid ongoing institutional tensions. New election technologies and the High Representative’s legal amendments add uncertainty to seat allocation under the proportional system, while entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska further complicate national projections. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with outcomes sensitive to turnout in key cantons, last-minute coalition signals, or any shifts in Bosniak or Serb voter mobilization before polling.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
音量
$92終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election for the state House of Representatives features a fragmented electorate divided along entity and ethnic lines, leaving the contest for second-most seats tightly balanced among several parties. Recent polling and candidate list finalization show NiP, SDP BiH, SNSD, SDA, HDZ BiH, and DF clustered in a narrow range, with no single contender establishing a clear edge after the prior governing coalition fractured and amid ongoing institutional tensions. New election technologies and the High Representative’s legal amendments add uncertainty to seat allocation under the proportional system, while entity-level dynamics in the Federation and Republika Srpska further complicate national projections. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with outcomes sensitive to turnout in key cantons, last-minute coalition signals, or any shifts in Bosniak or Serb voter mobilization before polling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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