Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 features a closely contested race between the centre-left opposition and the incumbent right-wing bloc, with recent polls showing narrow gaps that typically encourage higher participation. Historical turnout has averaged around 84 percent in recent cycles, including 84.2 percent in 2022, and analysts project a similar range for 2026 amid stable institutional trust and proportional representation rules. Record advance voting—up 40 percent from the prior election—signals strong mobilization driven by salient domestic issues such as healthcare, welfare services, and security policy. These elements align with trader consensus centering on the 84-86 percent band as the most probable outcome, reflecting continuity in Swedish voting patterns rather than sharp shifts from external shocks or procedural changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日84〜86% 50%
86〜88% 23%
82〜84% 16%
88%以上 8%
82%未満
1%
82〜84%
16%
84〜86%
50%
86〜88%
23%
88%以上
8%
84〜86% 50%
86〜88% 23%
82〜84% 16%
88%以上 8%
82%未満
1%
82〜84%
16%
84〜86%
50%
86〜88%
23%
88%以上
8%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日: Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 features a closely contested race between the centre-left opposition and the incumbent right-wing bloc, with recent polls showing narrow gaps that typically encourage higher participation. Historical turnout has averaged around 84 percent in recent cycles, including 84.2 percent in 2022, and analysts project a similar range for 2026 amid stable institutional trust and proportional representation rules. Record advance voting—up 40 percent from the prior election—signals strong mobilization driven by salient domestic issues such as healthcare, welfare services, and security policy. These elements align with trader consensus centering on the 84-86 percent band as the most probable outcome, reflecting continuity in Swedish voting patterns rather than sharp shifts from external shocks or procedural changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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