Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
2% probabilità
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
2% probabilità
$74,606 Vol.
$74,606 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
Volume
$74,606Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$74,606Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia law and enforced through the Supreme Leader, Guardian Council, and conservative-dominated Majlis, which criminalizes same-sex relations under the Islamic Penal Code with penalties including flogging and execution. This framework renders recognition of same-sex marriage incompatible with constitutional requirements and official policy, with no legislative proposals or reform signals emerging in recent months. Trader consensus at 97.9% "No" reflects these entrenched institutional and religious barriers through the end of 2026. Only an unforeseen regime transition, major post-Khamenei leadership shift, or broad revolutionary change could create conditions for policy reversal before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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