Recent polling from Ipsos and Angus Reid shows consistent majority opposition to advancing Alberta separation, with 60-72% favoring remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 referendum question and only 19-35% supporting the process for a binding independence vote. Support for proceeding has declined sharply from January levels near 28%. Premier Danielle Smith, who does not back independence, scheduled the vote following citizen petitions that gathered over 300,000 signatures, though legal challenges from First Nations over treaty rights and consultation have delayed verification. These factors, alongside the two-step referendum structure requiring further steps for actual separation, underpin trader consensus against an affirmative independence outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$242,139 Vol.
$242,139 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$242,139 Vol.
$242,139 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling from Ipsos and Angus Reid shows consistent majority opposition to advancing Alberta separation, with 60-72% favoring remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 referendum question and only 19-35% supporting the process for a binding independence vote. Support for proceeding has declined sharply from January levels near 28%. Premier Danielle Smith, who does not back independence, scheduled the vote following citizen petitions that gathered over 300,000 signatures, though legal challenges from First Nations over treaty rights and consultation have delayed verification. These factors, alongside the two-step referendum structure requiring further steps for actual separation, underpin trader consensus against an affirmative independence outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$242,139Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling from Ipsos and Angus Reid shows consistent majority opposition to advancing Alberta separation, with 60-72% favoring remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 referendum question and only 19-35% supporting the process for a binding independence vote. Support for proceeding has declined sharply from January levels near 28%. Premier Danielle Smith, who does not back independence, scheduled the vote following citizen petitions that gathered over 300,000 signatures, though legal challenges from First Nations over treaty rights and consultation have delayed verification. These factors, alongside the two-step referendum structure requiring further steps for actual separation, underpin trader consensus against an affirmative independence outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$242,139Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from Ipsos and Angus Reid shows consistent majority opposition to advancing Alberta separation, with 60-72% favoring remaining in Canada on the October 19, 2026 referendum question and only 19-35% supporting the process for a binding independence vote. Support for proceeding has declined sharply from January levels near 28%. Premier Danielle Smith, who does not back independence, scheduled the vote following citizen petitions that gathered over 300,000 signatures, though legal challenges from First Nations over treaty rights and consultation have delayed verification. These factors, alongside the two-step referendum structure requiring further steps for actual separation, underpin trader consensus against an affirmative independence outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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