Recent Zillow data place the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 through July 2026, up just 1.2% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, positioning the <$1.176 million outcome as the clear market favorite. Median sale prices near $1.175 million reflect transaction activity rather than the smoothed index measure likely used for resolution, while tight inventory and 17-day average days on market have supported modest price stability without strong upward momentum. With September 30 only weeks away and no major policy shifts or economic releases expected to alter housing demand materially in the interim, trader consensus reflects the limited scope for the index to breach the key threshold before the observation date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<$1,176M 83%
$1.176M - $1.198M 15.1%
$1,220M - $1,242M <1%
$1,198M - $1,220M <1%
$50,473 Vol.
$50,473 Vol.
29 set 2026
<$1,176M
83%
$1.176M - $1.198M
15%
$1,198M - $1,220M
<1%
$1,220M - $1,242M
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
<1%
$1,264M - $1,284M
<1%
$1,284M+
<1%
<$1,176M 83%
$1.176M - $1.198M 15.1%
$1,220M - $1,242M <1%
$1,198M - $1,220M <1%
$50,473 Vol.
$50,473 Vol.
29 set 2026
<$1,176M
$24,895 Vol.
83%
$1.176M - $1.198M
$14,817 Vol.
15%
$1,198M - $1,220M
$2,306 Vol.
<1%
$1,220M - $1,242M
$2,195 Vol.
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
$3,556 Vol.
<1%
$1,264M - $1,284M
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
$1,284M+
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent Zillow data place the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 through July 2026, up just 1.2% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, positioning the <$1.176 million outcome as the clear market favorite. Median sale prices near $1.175 million reflect transaction activity rather than the smoothed index measure likely used for resolution, while tight inventory and 17-day average days on market have supported modest price stability without strong upward momentum. With September 30 only weeks away and no major policy shifts or economic releases expected to alter housing demand materially in the interim, trader consensus reflects the limited scope for the index to breach the key threshold before the observation date.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$50,473Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent Zillow data place the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 through July 2026, up just 1.2% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, positioning the <$1.176 million outcome as the clear market favorite. Median sale prices near $1.175 million reflect transaction activity rather than the smoothed index measure likely used for resolution, while tight inventory and 17-day average days on market have supported modest price stability without strong upward momentum. With September 30 only weeks away and no major policy shifts or economic releases expected to alter housing demand materially in the interim, trader consensus reflects the limited scope for the index to breach the key threshold before the observation date.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volume
$50,473Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow data place the San Francisco metro typical home value at $1,136,810 through July 2026, up just 1.2% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, positioning the <$1.176 million outcome as the clear market favorite. Median sale prices near $1.175 million reflect transaction activity rather than the smoothed index measure likely used for resolution, while tight inventory and 17-day average days on market have supported modest price stability without strong upward momentum. With September 30 only weeks away and no major policy shifts or economic releases expected to alter housing demand materially in the interim, trader consensus reflects the limited scope for the index to breach the key threshold before the observation date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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