**Low Swiss inflation near 0.6% and a persistently strong franc have anchored trader expectations for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate at 0.00% at the September 24 assessment.** Recent data show CPI remaining well inside the 0–2% target band despite energy price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, with the franc offsetting imported inflation and supporting the SNB’s conditional forecast of subdued price growth through 2028. Surveys of economists and Swiss bankers, alongside recent remarks from Chairman Martin Schlegel highlighting stable medium-term pressures and limited second-round effects, reinforce the view that monetary conditions are appropriate without immediate adjustment. With the decision just days away, market-implied odds reflect this broad consensus on a prolonged zero-rate stance while assigning only marginal probabilities to modest moves in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun cambiamento 90%
Aumento di 25 punti base 3.7%
Riduzione di 25 punti base 2.3%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base 1.7%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
2%
Aumento di 25 punti base
4%
Nessun cambiamento
90%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
2%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
2%
Nessun cambiamento 90%
Aumento di 25 punti base 3.7%
Riduzione di 25 punti base 2.3%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base 1.7%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
2%
Aumento di 25 punti base
4%
Nessun cambiamento
90%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
2%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
2%
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Low Swiss inflation near 0.6% and a persistently strong franc have anchored trader expectations for the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate at 0.00% at the September 24 assessment.** Recent data show CPI remaining well inside the 0–2% target band despite energy price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, with the franc offsetting imported inflation and supporting the SNB’s conditional forecast of subdued price growth through 2028. Surveys of economists and Swiss bankers, alongside recent remarks from Chairman Martin Schlegel highlighting stable medium-term pressures and limited second-round effects, reinforce the view that monetary conditions are appropriate without immediate adjustment. With the decision just days away, market-implied odds reflect this broad consensus on a prolonged zero-rate stance while assigning only marginal probabilities to modest moves in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti