Recent Miami-Dade housing data show median sale prices holding steady near $550,000–$600,000 through August 2026, with listing prices around $589,000 and modest year-over-year changes amid elevated inventory and longer days on market. These conditions support the 60% implied probability on the $1.089M–$1.125M bin by reflecting limited near-term appreciation pressure before the September 30 resolution. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in the narrow range as the most likely outcome given current supply-demand balance and absence of major catalysts like sharp rate shifts or policy changes. The secondary $1.125M–$1.161M bin at 25.7% captures modest upside scenarios if sales volume accelerates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale sarà il valore medio della casa a Miami il 30 settembre?
$1,089M - $1,125M 60%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $ 25.8%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $ 10%
$1,017M - $1,053M 4.5%
$69,393 Vol.
$69,393 Vol.
< $1.017M
1%
$1,017M - $1,053M
5%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $
10%
$1,089M - $1,125M
60%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $
26%
$1,161 M - $1,196 M
2%
1,196M$+
4%
$1,089M - $1,125M 60%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $ 25.8%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $ 10%
$1,017M - $1,053M 4.5%
$69,393 Vol.
$69,393 Vol.
< $1.017M
1%
$1,017M - $1,053M
5%
1.053.000 $ - 1.089.000 $
10%
$1,089M - $1,125M
60%
1,125M $ - 1,161M $
26%
$1,161 M - $1,196 M
2%
1,196M$+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Miami-Dade housing data show median sale prices holding steady near $550,000–$600,000 through August 2026, with listing prices around $589,000 and modest year-over-year changes amid elevated inventory and longer days on market. These conditions support the 60% implied probability on the $1.089M–$1.125M bin by reflecting limited near-term appreciation pressure before the September 30 resolution. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in the narrow range as the most likely outcome given current supply-demand balance and absence of major catalysts like sharp rate shifts or policy changes. The secondary $1.125M–$1.161M bin at 25.7% captures modest upside scenarios if sales volume accelerates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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