**Recent Zillow data through July 2026 places the San Francisco metro typical home value at approximately $1.137 million, with the median sale price near $1.175 million, keeping the bulk of trader capital positioned below the $1.176 million threshold.** Modest year-over-year gains of roughly 1-4% reflect a seller’s market characterized by tight inventory, 17-day average days on market, and sales-to-list ratios above 107%, yet broader metro figures have shown limited acceleration amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent supply constraints. AI-driven demand has boosted luxury segments in core San Francisco and Peninsula markets, but this has not materially lifted the overall metro median in recent months. With resolution just weeks away and no major economic releases or policy shifts expected to alter the trajectory before month-end, the market-implied odds reflect the stability of current levels and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of driving a decisive move higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<$1,176M 83%
$1.176M - $1.198M 15.1%
$1,220M - $1,242M <1%
$1,198M - $1,220M <1%
$50,473 Vol.
$50,473 Vol.
<$1,176M
83%
$1.176M - $1.198M
15%
$1,198M - $1,220M
<1%
$1,220M - $1,242M
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
<1%
$1,264M - $1,284M
<1%
$1,284M+
<1%
<$1,176M 83%
$1.176M - $1.198M 15.1%
$1,220M - $1,242M <1%
$1,198M - $1,220M <1%
$50,473 Vol.
$50,473 Vol.
<$1,176M
83%
$1.176M - $1.198M
15%
$1,198M - $1,220M
<1%
$1,220M - $1,242M
<1%
$1.242M - $1.264M
<1%
$1,264M - $1,284M
<1%
$1,284M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Zillow data through July 2026 places the San Francisco metro typical home value at approximately $1.137 million, with the median sale price near $1.175 million, keeping the bulk of trader capital positioned below the $1.176 million threshold.** Modest year-over-year gains of roughly 1-4% reflect a seller’s market characterized by tight inventory, 17-day average days on market, and sales-to-list ratios above 107%, yet broader metro figures have shown limited acceleration amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent supply constraints. AI-driven demand has boosted luxury segments in core San Francisco and Peninsula markets, but this has not materially lifted the overall metro median in recent months. With resolution just weeks away and no major economic releases or policy shifts expected to alter the trajectory before month-end, the market-implied odds reflect the stability of current levels and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of driving a decisive move higher.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il valore mediano delle case nell'area metropolitana di Los Angeles sarà compreso tra 1.137.000$ e 1.153.000$ il 30 settembre?
Il valore mediano delle case nella zona metropolitana di Austin sarà inferiore a $446.000 il 30 settembre?
Il valore mediano delle case a Miami sarà compreso tra $1.089.000 e $1.125.000 il 30 settembre?
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