Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
$21,795 Vol.
$21,795 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$21,795 Vol.
$21,795 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$10,777 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$11,017 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$21,795Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,795Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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