Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Toronto on August 30, driven by a moist southwesterly flow, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures near 19°C according to Environment Canada forecasts. High humidity near 80% combined with light winds further reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping surface readings from dropping as sharply as under clear skies. This aligns with current observations around 19–20°C early on the day and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Model consensus on the precise low remains sensitive to the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, with official guidance emphasizing a 19°C overnight minimum amid ongoing unsettled conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Toronto il 30 agosto?
20°C 42%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C 38%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
38%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
42%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 42%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C 38%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
38%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
42%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Toronto on August 30, driven by a moist southwesterly flow, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures near 19°C according to Environment Canada forecasts. High humidity near 80% combined with light winds further reduces the diurnal temperature range, keeping surface readings from dropping as sharply as under clear skies. This aligns with current observations around 19–20°C early on the day and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–20°C. Model consensus on the precise low remains sensitive to the exact timing and coverage of precipitation, with official guidance emphasizing a 19°C overnight minimum amid ongoing unsettled conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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