Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a broad monsoon trough or lingering tropical moisture are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Taipei near 24–26°C on August 24. Multiple official and model forecasts (Central Weather Administration, ECMWF, GFS) show continued showers and overcast skies through the night, limiting radiative cooling while high humidity and light easterly flow maintain temperatures in the mid-20s. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but recent days of heavy rain have already produced similar readings, with traders pricing the tight 23–27°C cluster near equal implied probability due to small uncertainties in exact rain timing and any brief clear spells.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 24 agosto?
30°C 67%
24°C 45%
27°C 45%
25°C 45%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
40%
23°C
44%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
67%
31°C or higher
1%
30°C 67%
24°C 45%
27°C 45%
25°C 45%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
40%
23°C
44%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
67%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from a broad monsoon trough or lingering tropical moisture are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Taipei near 24–26°C on August 24. Multiple official and model forecasts (Central Weather Administration, ECMWF, GFS) show continued showers and overcast skies through the night, limiting radiative cooling while high humidity and light easterly flow maintain temperatures in the mid-20s. Historical August minima average near 26°C, but recent days of heavy rain have already produced similar readings, with traders pricing the tight 23–27°C cluster near equal implied probability due to small uncertainties in exact rain timing and any brief clear spells.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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