**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei on August 23, 2026, anchoring the daily minimum near the late-summer climatological norm of 25–26 °C.** Multiple official and model forecasts (including NHC-adjacent regional guidance and local meteorological services) converge on a low of 25–26 °C, with only modest overnight drops expected under mostly cloudy to overcast skies and ongoing thunderstorm activity. This aligns with historical August averages for Taipei, where the typical minimum hovers around 26 °C amid tropical moisture and weak steering winds. Recent observations through the morning and early afternoon show temperatures holding in the mid-24 °C to low-26 °C range, with dew points near 25–26 °C further muting any sharper decline. Trader-implied odds (61 % for 26 °C, 35 % for 25 °C) reflect this consensus, while the lower-probability 24 °C outcome would require clearer skies and drier air that current conditions do not support. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 23 agosto?
24°C 3%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
35%
26°C
61%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 3%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
35%
26°C
61%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and high humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Taipei on August 23, 2026, anchoring the daily minimum near the late-summer climatological norm of 25–26 °C.** Multiple official and model forecasts (including NHC-adjacent regional guidance and local meteorological services) converge on a low of 25–26 °C, with only modest overnight drops expected under mostly cloudy to overcast skies and ongoing thunderstorm activity. This aligns with historical August averages for Taipei, where the typical minimum hovers around 26 °C amid tropical moisture and weak steering winds. Recent observations through the morning and early afternoon show temperatures holding in the mid-24 °C to low-26 °C range, with dew points near 25–26 °C further muting any sharper decline. Trader-implied odds (61 % for 26 °C, 35 % for 25 °C) reflect this consensus, while the lower-probability 24 °C outcome would require clearer skies and drier air that current conditions do not support. Updated model runs and real-time surface observations will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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