Recent forecasts and observations from São Paulo's meteorological stations indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C overnight into August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiational cooling under a post-frontal air mass and southeasterly sea breeze. Official guidance from the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências notes an average dawn low around 13°C, with isolated stations dipping to 9.5–10°C amid higher humidity and light winds. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 13–14°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on limited further cooling before daytime warming resumes. Historical August minima average 12–16°C, and recent cold-front passage has already moderated extremes, reducing odds for sub-12°C readings while keeping uncertainty low for this winter diurnal cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a San Paolo il 23 agosto?
13°C 42%
11°C 6%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
$1,052 Vol.
$1,052 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
2%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 42%
11°C 6%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
$1,052 Vol.
$1,052 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
2%
13°C
42%
14°C
59%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and observations from São Paulo's meteorological stations indicate a minimum temperature near 12–13°C overnight into August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiational cooling under a post-frontal air mass and southeasterly sea breeze. Official guidance from the Centro de Gerenciamento de Emergências notes an average dawn low around 13°C, with isolated stations dipping to 9.5–10°C amid higher humidity and light winds. This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 13–14°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on limited further cooling before daytime warming resumes. Historical August minima average 12–16°C, and recent cold-front passage has already moderated extremes, reducing odds for sub-12°C readings while keeping uncertainty low for this winter diurnal cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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