Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles have clustered São Paulo’s August 24 maximum near 19–21°C, driving the tight market spread around those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderate southeasterly winds enhancing mixing, and lingering moisture from a passing frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. These factors differentiate the narrow band from the historical August mean of roughly 23°C. Model consensus on minimal diurnal warming and stable atmospheric profiles sustains trader focus on the 19–21°C range ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 24 agosto?
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
21°C 23%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
23%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
21°C 23%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
23%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles have clustered São Paulo’s August 24 maximum near 19–21°C, driving the tight market spread around those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderate southeasterly winds enhancing mixing, and lingering moisture from a passing frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. These factors differentiate the narrow band from the historical August mean of roughly 23°C. Model consensus on minimal diurnal warming and stable atmospheric profiles sustains trader focus on the 19–21°C range ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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