Recent forecast model consensus from sources like YR and GFS runs positions the overnight minimum in Paris on August 31 near 17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and a mild maritime air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions on August 30, where temperatures held in the mid-teens overnight amid similar synoptic patterns, contrasting with the long-term August 31 climatological low of 13.4°C. Traders assign 68% implied probability to 17°C as the daily minimum, reflecting high confidence in stable boundary-layer conditions, while 16°C and 18°C capture smaller model spread risks from variable winds or partial clearing. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations, with minimal expected shifts before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 31 agosto?
17°C 67%
16°C 19%
18°C 11%
14°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
67%
18°C
11%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
17°C 67%
16°C 19%
18°C 11%
14°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
1%
14°C
$57 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$243 Vol.
19%
17°C
$1,010 Vol.
67%
18°C
$231 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$65 Vol.
1%
22°C o superiore
$52 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like YR and GFS runs positions the overnight minimum in Paris on August 31 near 17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and a mild maritime air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions on August 30, where temperatures held in the mid-teens overnight amid similar synoptic patterns, contrasting with the long-term August 31 climatological low of 13.4°C. Traders assign 68% implied probability to 17°C as the daily minimum, reflecting high confidence in stable boundary-layer conditions, while 16°C and 18°C capture smaller model spread risks from variable winds or partial clearing. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations, with minimal expected shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,780Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like YR and GFS runs positions the overnight minimum in Paris on August 31 near 17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and a mild maritime air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions on August 30, where temperatures held in the mid-teens overnight amid similar synoptic patterns, contrasting with the long-term August 31 climatological low of 13.4°C. Traders assign 68% implied probability to 17°C as the daily minimum, reflecting high confidence in stable boundary-layer conditions, while 16°C and 18°C capture smaller model spread risks from variable winds or partial clearing. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations, with minimal expected shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,780Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like YR and GFS runs positions the overnight minimum in Paris on August 31 near 17°C, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and a mild maritime air mass that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with observed conditions on August 30, where temperatures held in the mid-teens overnight amid similar synoptic patterns, contrasting with the long-term August 31 climatological low of 13.4°C. Traders assign 68% implied probability to 17°C as the daily minimum, reflecting high confidence in stable boundary-layer conditions, while 16°C and 18°C capture smaller model spread risks from variable winds or partial clearing. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations, with minimal expected shifts before midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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