Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional runs position a 23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 31, consistent with the market’s 53.5% implied probability. A cool Atlantic air mass advecting from the west under increasing cloud cover and moderate westerly winds (15–25 km/h) is limiting daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Official guidance aligns with historical late-August normals near 23.8°C, while ensemble spreads support modest chances for 22°C or 24°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings through the evening of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 31 agosto?
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 17%
25°C 3%
NUOVO
$10,531 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,531 Vol.
31 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
17%
23°C
54%
24°C
29%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 17%
25°C 3%
NUOVO
$10,531 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,531 Vol.
31 ago 2026
19°C or below
$174 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$224 Vol.
1%
21°C
$616 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,300 Vol.
17%
23°C
$2,248 Vol.
54%
24°C
$1,431 Vol.
29%
25°C
$1,348 Vol.
3%
26°C
$919 Vol.
2%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional runs position a 23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 31, consistent with the market’s 53.5% implied probability. A cool Atlantic air mass advecting from the west under increasing cloud cover and moderate westerly winds (15–25 km/h) is limiting daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Official guidance aligns with historical late-August normals near 23.8°C, while ensemble spreads support modest chances for 22°C or 24°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings through the evening of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$10,531Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional runs position a 23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 31, consistent with the market’s 53.5% implied probability. A cool Atlantic air mass advecting from the west under increasing cloud cover and moderate westerly winds (15–25 km/h) is limiting daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Official guidance aligns with historical late-August normals near 23.8°C, while ensemble spreads support modest chances for 22°C or 24°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings through the evening of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,531Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional runs position a 23°C maximum as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 31, consistent with the market’s 53.5% implied probability. A cool Atlantic air mass advecting from the west under increasing cloud cover and moderate westerly winds (15–25 km/h) is limiting daytime heating after recent warmer conditions. Official guidance aligns with historical late-August normals near 23.8°C, while ensemble spreads support modest chances for 22°C or 24°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings through the evening of August 30 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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