Official meteorological forecasts from Russian services and numerical weather models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will reach 11°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average minimum for the date and driving the market's 98% implied probability on that outcome. Southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical record lows near 3°C while preventing warmer readings above 15°C seen in some recent years. Minor shifts in timing of any showers or brief clear periods could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C at official stations, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 30 agosto?
11°C 98%
10°C 15.2%
14°C 1.0%
15°C or higher <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
15%
11°C
98%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 98%
10°C 15.2%
14°C 1.0%
15°C or higher <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
5°C or below
$162 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$111 Vol.
15%
11°C
$499 Vol.
98%
12°C
$208 Vol.
1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$343 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from Russian services and numerical weather models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will reach 11°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average minimum for the date and driving the market's 98% implied probability on that outcome. Southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical record lows near 3°C while preventing warmer readings above 15°C seen in some recent years. Minor shifts in timing of any showers or brief clear periods could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C at official stations, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,618Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from Russian services and numerical weather models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will reach 11°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average minimum for the date and driving the market's 98% implied probability on that outcome. Southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical record lows near 3°C while preventing warmer readings above 15°C seen in some recent years. Minor shifts in timing of any showers or brief clear periods could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C at official stations, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,618Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological forecasts from Russian services and numerical weather models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will reach 11°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average minimum for the date and driving the market's 98% implied probability on that outcome. Southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical record lows near 3°C while preventing warmer readings above 15°C seen in some recent years. Minor shifts in timing of any showers or brief clear periods could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C at official stations, though current guidance shows limited divergence across ensembles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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