Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 31 near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light west to southwest winds, and low precipitation risk, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities on those outcomes. Stable atmospheric conditions with no strong warm-air advection or cold front passage in the latest runs have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms slightly below the long-term August average high. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C against minor model variability and typical observational uncertainty near the daily peak, with lower-probability outcomes priced in for any unexpected intensification or cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 31 agosto?
23°C 45%
22°C 33%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
33%
23°C
45%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 33%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
17°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
3%
21°C
$679 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,395 Vol.
33%
23°C
$527 Vol.
45%
24°C
$1,077 Vol.
7%
25°C
$515 Vol.
2%
26°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 31 near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light west to southwest winds, and low precipitation risk, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities on those outcomes. Stable atmospheric conditions with no strong warm-air advection or cold front passage in the latest runs have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms slightly below the long-term August average high. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C against minor model variability and typical observational uncertainty near the daily peak, with lower-probability outcomes priced in for any unexpected intensification or cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,524Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 31 near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light west to southwest winds, and low precipitation risk, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities on those outcomes. Stable atmospheric conditions with no strong warm-air advection or cold front passage in the latest runs have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms slightly below the long-term August average high. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C against minor model variability and typical observational uncertainty near the daily peak, with lower-probability outcomes priced in for any unexpected intensification or cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,524Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS data places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 31 near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light west to southwest winds, and low precipitation risk, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities on those outcomes. Stable atmospheric conditions with no strong warm-air advection or cold front passage in the latest runs have kept temperatures close to seasonal norms slightly below the long-term August average high. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C against minor model variability and typical observational uncertainty near the daily peak, with lower-probability outcomes priced in for any unexpected intensification or cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti