**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum of 21–22°C overnight into August 31 under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for Milan (historical average lows near 18°C) but sits above recent daily minima amid persistent warmth. The market’s elevated probability for 16°C or below (41%) reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cooling in urban or rural microclimates, and the potential for minor model adjustments before resolution. Stronger probabilities cluster around 19–20°C as the most likely near-term outcomes given current guidance, with rapidly declining odds above 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Milano il 31 agosto?
18°C 46%
16°C or below 41%
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
41%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 41%
19°C 29%
20°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
16°C or below
$43 Vol.
41%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$2 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum of 21–22°C overnight into August 31 under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for Milan (historical average lows near 18°C) but sits above recent daily minima amid persistent warmth. The market’s elevated probability for 16°C or below (41%) reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cooling in urban or rural microclimates, and the potential for minor model adjustments before resolution. Stronger probabilities cluster around 19–20°C as the most likely near-term outcomes given current guidance, with rapidly declining odds above 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$56Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum of 21–22°C overnight into August 31 under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for Milan (historical average lows near 18°C) but sits above recent daily minima amid persistent warmth. The market’s elevated probability for 16°C or below (41%) reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cooling in urban or rural microclimates, and the potential for minor model adjustments before resolution. Stronger probabilities cluster around 19–20°C as the most likely near-term outcomes given current guidance, with rapidly declining odds above 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum of 21–22°C overnight into August 31 under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for Milan (historical average lows near 18°C) but sits above recent daily minima amid persistent warmth. The market’s elevated probability for 16°C or below (41%) reflects trader awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, possible localized cooling in urban or rural microclimates, and the potential for minor model adjustments before resolution. Stronger probabilities cluster around 19–20°C as the most likely near-term outcomes given current guidance, with rapidly declining odds above 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data point that could shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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