Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a high near 33–34°C in Madrid on September 1 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or moisture. Traders have priced 34°C and 35°C as the closest outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical early-September averages near 31–33°C and recent days exhibiting gradual heat buildup. Key variables include the precise timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and any last-model adjustments before resolution, leaving narrow but real uncertainty between the two leading bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 1° settembre?
35°C 46%
34°C 41%
33°C 8%
36°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
41%
35°C
46%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 46%
34°C 41%
33°C 8%
36°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
30°C or below
$89 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$86 Vol.
41%
35°C
$289 Vol.
46%
36°C
$7 Vol.
7%
37°C
$4 Vol.
2%
38°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a high near 33–34°C in Madrid on September 1 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or moisture. Traders have priced 34°C and 35°C as the closest outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical early-September averages near 31–33°C and recent days exhibiting gradual heat buildup. Key variables include the precise timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and any last-model adjustments before resolution, leaving narrow but real uncertainty between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$490Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a high near 33–34°C in Madrid on September 1 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or moisture. Traders have priced 34°C and 35°C as the closest outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical early-September averages near 31–33°C and recent days exhibiting gradual heat buildup. Key variables include the precise timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and any last-model adjustments before resolution, leaving narrow but real uncertainty between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$490Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a high near 33–34°C in Madrid on September 1 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming without significant cloud cover or moisture. Traders have priced 34°C and 35°C as the closest outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical early-September averages near 31–33°C and recent days exhibiting gradual heat buildup. Key variables include the precise timing of peak insolation, minor wind shifts, and any last-model adjustments before resolution, leaving narrow but real uncertainty between the two leading bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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