Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 21–23°C in Warsaw on September 1 amid westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light showers that could limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer late-August conditions but reflects an approaching frontal boundary moderating temperatures through reduced solar insolation and cooler air advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 21°C and 22°C because small differences in forecast timing of any precipitation or exact wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while historical September averages near 20–21°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated model runs and official IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 1° settembre?
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
17°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$109 Vol.
2%
19°C
$62 Vol.
2%
20°C
$146 Vol.
12%
21°C
$222 Vol.
38%
22°C
$1,814 Vol.
39%
23°C
$9 Vol.
11%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 21–23°C in Warsaw on September 1 amid westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light showers that could limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer late-August conditions but reflects an approaching frontal boundary moderating temperatures through reduced solar insolation and cooler air advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 21°C and 22°C because small differences in forecast timing of any precipitation or exact wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while historical September averages near 20–21°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated model runs and official IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,550Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 21–23°C in Warsaw on September 1 amid westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light showers that could limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer late-August conditions but reflects an approaching frontal boundary moderating temperatures through reduced solar insolation and cooler air advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 21°C and 22°C because small differences in forecast timing of any precipitation or exact wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while historical September averages near 20–21°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated model runs and official IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,550Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 21–23°C in Warsaw on September 1 amid westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light showers that could limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer late-August conditions but reflects an approaching frontal boundary moderating temperatures through reduced solar insolation and cooler air advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 21°C and 22°C because small differences in forecast timing of any precipitation or exact wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while historical September averages near 20–21°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated model runs and official IMGW guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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