Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Los Angeles on September 16 points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, driven by a persistent marine layer, light southwest winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing modest radiational cooling. This setup supports the market's leading 55% implied probability on the 68-69°F bin while keeping lower ranges like 66-67°F at 26% viable if the layer deepens. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, yet recent stable high-pressure patterns and lack of cold-air advection reduce odds for sub-60°F outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential forecast revisions from updated NWS guidance or on-site observations at key stations like LAX.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 16 settembre?
68-69°F 55%
57°F o inferiore 47%
76°F o superiore 46%
62-63°F 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
47%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
33%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
55%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
32%
76°F o superiore
46%
68-69°F 55%
57°F o inferiore 47%
76°F o superiore 46%
62-63°F 33%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
57°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
47%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
32%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
33%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$81 Vol.
55%
70-71°F
$42 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
32%
76°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Los Angeles on September 16 points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, driven by a persistent marine layer, light southwest winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing modest radiational cooling. This setup supports the market's leading 55% implied probability on the 68-69°F bin while keeping lower ranges like 66-67°F at 26% viable if the layer deepens. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, yet recent stable high-pressure patterns and lack of cold-air advection reduce odds for sub-60°F outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential forecast revisions from updated NWS guidance or on-site observations at key stations like LAX.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$123Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Los Angeles on September 16 points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, driven by a persistent marine layer, light southwest winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing modest radiational cooling. This setup supports the market's leading 55% implied probability on the 68-69°F bin while keeping lower ranges like 66-67°F at 26% viable if the layer deepens. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, yet recent stable high-pressure patterns and lack of cold-air advection reduce odds for sub-60°F outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential forecast revisions from updated NWS guidance or on-site observations at key stations like LAX.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$123Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Los Angeles on September 16 points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, driven by a persistent marine layer, light southwest winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing modest radiational cooling. This setup supports the market's leading 55% implied probability on the 68-69°F bin while keeping lower ranges like 66-67°F at 26% viable if the layer deepens. Historical September averages near 64°F provide context, yet recent stable high-pressure patterns and lack of cold-air advection reduce odds for sub-60°F outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential forecast revisions from updated NWS guidance or on-site observations at key stations like LAX.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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