Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Météo-France models project a daytime high of 26–27°C for Paris on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and low precipitation risk. This above-climatological norm (historical average high ~21.7°C) stems from a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, though afternoon cloud cover may cap the peak and introduce model spread of ±1–2°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26–28°C because these thresholds match the consensus range from ensemble runs, with limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Final resolution depends on verified observations from stations such as Paris-Montsouris, with any late adjustments to the forecast likely to shift probabilities modestly before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Parigi il 14 settembre?
27°C 39%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
29°C 8%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
39%
28°C
22%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 24%
28°C 22%
29°C 8%
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
39%
28°C
22%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Météo-France models project a daytime high of 26–27°C for Paris on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and low precipitation risk. This above-climatological norm (historical average high ~21.7°C) stems from a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, though afternoon cloud cover may cap the peak and introduce model spread of ±1–2°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26–28°C because these thresholds match the consensus range from ensemble runs, with limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Final resolution depends on verified observations from stations such as Paris-Montsouris, with any late adjustments to the forecast likely to shift probabilities modestly before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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