Forecast models from agencies tracking Guangzhou conditions indicate a daily maximum near 32°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly winds that limit surface heating. This aligns with the 32.2°C historical average high and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid humid subtropical air masses. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 34°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns, with only modest upside risk from brief clear intervals. A stronger-than-expected ridge or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 35°C, though current guidance and model consensus make that outcome unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 settembre?
34°C 98%
35°C 2.1%
36°C o superiore <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
$61,818 Vol.
$61,818 Vol.
13 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C o superiore
1%
34°C 98%
35°C 2.1%
36°C o superiore <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
$61,818 Vol.
$61,818 Vol.
13 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$103 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,185 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,855 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,034 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,107 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,494 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,074 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,227 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$11,135 Vol.
98%
35°C
$6,880 Vol.
2%
36°C o superiore
$1,725 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking Guangzhou conditions indicate a daily maximum near 32°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly winds that limit surface heating. This aligns with the 32.2°C historical average high and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid humid subtropical air masses. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 34°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns, with only modest upside risk from brief clear intervals. A stronger-than-expected ridge or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 35°C, though current guidance and model consensus make that outcome unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$61,818Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking Guangzhou conditions indicate a daily maximum near 32°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly winds that limit surface heating. This aligns with the 32.2°C historical average high and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid humid subtropical air masses. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 34°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns, with only modest upside risk from brief clear intervals. A stronger-than-expected ridge or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 35°C, though current guidance and model consensus make that outcome unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,818Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking Guangzhou conditions indicate a daily maximum near 32°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly winds that limit surface heating. This aligns with the 32.2°C historical average high and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid humid subtropical air masses. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 34°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns, with only modest upside risk from brief clear intervals. A stronger-than-expected ridge or reduced precipitation could push readings toward 35°C, though current guidance and model consensus make that outcome unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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