**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 13 settembre?
28°C 99.5%
29°C 1.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
$22,471 Vol.
$22,471 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 99.5%
29°C 1.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
$22,471 Vol.
$22,471 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$183 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,058 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,204 Vol.
100%
29°C
$4,325 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,301 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$622 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$22,471Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,471Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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