Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Zhengzhou on September 14, favoring strong daytime solar heating and highs near 30–32°C. Low humidity levels and stable high pressure suppress cloud formation or convective cooling, while typical late-summer continental conditions allow efficient surface warming during peak insolation hours. Minor model spreads in exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions or subtle wind shifts create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes given the absence of fronts or moisture advection. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will further refine peak temperature estimates ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 14 settembre?
31°C 25%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 13%
26°C o inferiore
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
23%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C o superiore
1%
31°C 25%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 13%
26°C o inferiore
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
23%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates mostly clear skies and light easterly winds over Zhengzhou on September 14, favoring strong daytime solar heating and highs near 30–32°C. Low humidity levels and stable high pressure suppress cloud formation or convective cooling, while typical late-summer continental conditions allow efficient surface warming during peak insolation hours. Minor model spreads in exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions or subtle wind shifts create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes given the absence of fronts or moisture advection. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will further refine peak temperature estimates ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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