Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 14 settembre?
30°C o superiore 52%
20°C o inferiore 51%
25°C 46%
22°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
51%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
34%
24°C
20%
25°C
46%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C o superiore
52%
30°C o superiore 52%
20°C o inferiore 51%
25°C 46%
22°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
51%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
34%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$12 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$12Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Guangzhou on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and widespread rain expected overnight under light northerly winds. These conditions suppress radiative cooling in the city's subtropical climate, where September averages hover near 24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear-sky episodes that could push readings toward 20°C or below. Trader positioning reflects this, with 25°C and 26°C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities while lower or much warmer extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti