Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show Ankara's September 14 high temperature centering on 25–26°C, driven by a shift to moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air after today's 32°C peak. Clear to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation risk and daytime highs stabilizing near 76–78°F support the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C at 54% implied probability. Minor model spread around intensification timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 27°C as a plausible secondary outcome at 34.5%, while historical September variability and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking reduce odds for extremes above 28°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 14 settembre?
26°C 55%
27°C 33%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
NUOVO
$15,403 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,403 Vol.
14 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
55%
27°C
33%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 55%
27°C 33%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
NUOVO
$15,403 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,403 Vol.
14 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$420 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$620 Vol.
1%
24°C
$890 Vol.
1%
25°C
$4,245 Vol.
9%
26°C
$1,698 Vol.
55%
27°C
$5,466 Vol.
33%
28°C
$1,268 Vol.
2%
29°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show Ankara's September 14 high temperature centering on 25–26°C, driven by a shift to moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air after today's 32°C peak. Clear to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation risk and daytime highs stabilizing near 76–78°F support the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C at 54% implied probability. Minor model spread around intensification timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 27°C as a plausible secondary outcome at 34.5%, while historical September variability and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking reduce odds for extremes above 28°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,403Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show Ankara's September 14 high temperature centering on 25–26°C, driven by a shift to moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air after today's 32°C peak. Clear to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation risk and daytime highs stabilizing near 76–78°F support the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C at 54% implied probability. Minor model spread around intensification timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 27°C as a plausible secondary outcome at 34.5%, while historical September variability and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking reduce odds for extremes above 28°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,403Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models show Ankara's September 14 high temperature centering on 25–26°C, driven by a shift to moderate westerly winds advecting cooler maritime air after today's 32°C peak. Clear to partly cloudy conditions with low precipitation risk and daytime highs stabilizing near 76–78°F support the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C at 54% implied probability. Minor model spread around intensification timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 27°C as a plausible secondary outcome at 34.5%, while historical September variability and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking reduce odds for extremes above 28°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these near-term projections ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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